REPOSITIONING THE INDONESIAN CREDIT CARD INDUSTRY IN THE ERA OF DIGITAL FINANCIAL SERVICES: A SCENARIO PLANNING APPROACH
DOI:
10.54443/morfai.v6i2.4995Published:
2026-01-17Downloads
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the current position of the Indonesian credit card industry in formulating alternative scenario planning as a repositioning effort in the digital era. Using a qualitative research design with descriptive methods, this study was conducted using interview data collection and documentation studies from various literature sources. Scenario planning was developed using PESTEL analysis and Porter’s Five Forces to identify key points, changes, and future scenario planning for credit cards in Indonesia. The results indicate that efforts to reposition the Indonesian credit card industry require strengthening and integrating the Indonesian credit card industry ecosystem with digitalized services. Transformation efforts are not limited to just transformation efforts, but also the need to strengthen regulators that offer customer acquisition and expand flexible collaboration
Keywords:
credit card digital financial technology paylater scenario planningReferences
Anestiawati, C. A., Amanda, C., Khantinyano, H., & Agatha, A. (2025). Bank FinTech and Credit Risk: Comparison of Selected Emerging and Developed Countries. Studies in Economics and Finance. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-12-2023-0714
Ateljević, J., Kulović, D., Đoković, F., & Mirza Bavčić. (2023). Business Strategy and Competitive Advantage: A Reinterpretation of Michael Porter’s Work. New York: Routledge.
Bank Indonesia. (2023). Bank Indonesia Data of Credit Cards.
Belanche, D., Guinalíu, M., & Albás, P. (2022). Customer Adoption of P2P Mobile Payment Systems: The Role of Perceived Risk. Telematics and Informatics, 72, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tele.2022.101851
Christodoulou, A., & Kevin Cullinane. (2019). Identifying the Main Opportunities and Challenges from the Implementation of a Port Energy Management System: A SWOT/PESTLE Analysis. Sustainability, 11(21), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11216046
Goodwin, P., & Wright, G. (2014). Decision Analysis for Management Judgment. John Wiley & Sons.
Hendrawan, M. R. N. A., Marits, S. A., & Herman, S. (2023). Development of Digital Payment Systems in Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Kesatuan, 11(3), 1335–1344.
Herkenhoff, K. F., & Raveendranathan, G. (2025). Who Bears the Welfare Costs of Monopoly? The Case of the Credit Card Industry. The Review of Economic Studies, 92(5), 3067–3111. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdae098
Hughes, L., Seddon, J. J., & Dwivedi, Y. K. (2024). Disruptive Change within Financial Technology: A Methodological Analysis of Digital Transformation Challenges. Journal of Information Technology, 39(4), 756–783. https://doi.org/10.1177/02683962231219512
Jameaba, M.-S. (2024). Digitalization, Emerging Technologies, and Financial Stability: Challenges and Opportunities for the Indonesian Banking Sector and Beyond. SSRN, 1–57. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4808469
Jatmiko, B., Udin, U., Raharti, R., Laras, T., & Ardhi, K. F. (2021). Strategies for MSMEs to Achieve Sustainable Competitive Advantage: The SWOT Analysis Method. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(3), 505–515. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no3.0505
Katadata Insight Center, & Kredivo. (2024). Laporan Perilaku Pengguna Paylater Indonesia 2024.
Lee, A. T., Ramasamy, R. K., & Subbarao, A. (2025). Understanding Psychosocial Barriers to Healthcare Technology Adoption: A Review of TAM Technology Acceptance Model and Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology and UTAUT Frameworks. Healthcare, 13(3), 1–35. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare13030250
Li, Q., Yong Zha, & Dong, Y. (2023). Subsidize or Not: The Competition of Credit Card and Online Credit in Platform-based Supply Chain System. European Journal of Operational Research, 305(2), 644–658. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2022.06.003
Miao, Z. (2021). Digital Economy Value Chain: Concept, Model Structure, and Mechanism. Applied Economics, 53(37), 4342–4357. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2021.1899121
Naimi-Sadigh, A., Asgari, T., & Rabiei, M. (2022). Digital Transformation in the Value Chain Disruption of Banking Services. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 13, 1212–1242. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-021-00759-0
Pan, W., Chen, L., & Zhan, W. (2019). PESTEL Analysis of Construction Productivity Enhancement Strategies: A Case Study of Three Economies. Journal of Management in Engineering, 35(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000662
Puspadini, M. (2024). Bye-bye Kartu Kredit, Warga RI Kini Makin Doyan Pay Later. CNBC Indonesia. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/20240626102032-17-549398/bye-bye-kartu-kredit-warga-ri-kini-makin-doyan-pay-later
Rogers, E. M. (2003). Diffusion of Innovations, 5th Edition. Simon and Schuster.
Satutikirono, R., & Sunitiyoso, Y. (2021). Applying Scenario Planning in the Future of Bank Oranye Priority Banking Services. Journal of International Conference Proceedings (JICP), 4(3), 81–94.
Septiansyah, V., Fitri, I. C., Setyawan, F., & Prakoso, B. (2025). Accountability of the Financial Services Authority in Indonesia, Australia, Germany, France and Japan. International Journal of Social Science and Education Research Studies, 04(06), 531–544. https://doi.org/10.55677/ijssers/V04I6Y2024-08
Tan, G. K. S. (2022). Buy What You Want, Today! Platform Ecologies of ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ Services in Singapore. Transactions of The Institute of British Geographers, 47(4), 912–926. https://doi.org/10.1111/tran.12539
Trading Economics. (2024). Indonesia Consumer Credit. https://tradingeconomics.com/indonesia/consumer-credit
Utami, A. F., & Ekaputra, I. A. (2021). A Paradigm Shift in Financial Landscape: Encouraging Collaboration and Innovation among Indonesian FinTech Lending Players. Journal of Science and Technology Policy Management, 12(2), 309–330. https://doi.org/10.1108/JSTPM-03-2020-0064
Utomo, F. S., Suryana, N., & Azmi, M. S. (2025). Factors Influencing User Adoption of Mobile Payment System: An Integrated Model of Perceived Usefulness, Ease of Use, Financial Literacy, and Trust. Journal of Digital Market and Digital Currency, 2(2), 135–156. https://doi.org/10.47738/jdmdc.v2i2.31
Wortmann, L., Lippold, K.-C., & Kaufmann, R. (2023). The Buy Now, Pay Later Model of the Fintech Industry in the Commercial Banking Sector: An Opportunity or A Risk for Banks? Denmark: Copenhagen Business School.
Xie, R., An, L., & Yasir, N. (2022). How Innovative Characteristics Influence Consumers’ Intention to Purchase Electric Vehicle: A Moderating Role of Lifestyle. Sustainability, 14(8), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14084467
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Fabian Dheano Alamsyah, Yos Sunitiyoso

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.




