THE IMPACT OF “TRUMP’S POLICIES” ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTHEAST ASIA: SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW APPROACH

Authors

Muspida , Hermi Oppier , Dientje Rumerung , Hendri Dony Hahury

DOI:

10.54443/morfai.v6i2.4933

Published:

2026-01-17

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the complex impact of President Donald Trump's "America First" protectionist economic policies on economic growth in the Southeast Asian region through the lens of Economic Realism theory. This study uses a qualitative approach with a descriptive analytical design. Data were collected through document studies in the form of official US policy data, ASEAN communiques, World Bank and IMF reports, and other academic literature, which were analyzed thematically based on the Economic Realism framework. The results reveal a dual impact. Trump's policies disrupted global supply chains and increased uncertainty. However, simultaneously, these policies opened up strategic opportunities in the form of trade diversion and investment relocation from China to Southeast Asia. The impact was not homogeneous, with Vietnam emerging as a major beneficiary, while countries with highly open economies experienced a slowdown. In aggregate, the region's economies demonstrated resilience driven by domestic demand and regional integration, leading to accelerated structural transformation. There are significant implications of Trump's policies regarding his role as a catalyst for accelerating economic diversification and building regional economic resilience. Therefore, to ensure sustainable growth, Southeast Asian countries need to continue strengthening regional cooperation and enhancing domestic competitiveness.

Keywords:

Trump’s Policies Economic Growth Southeast Asia Trade War

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Author Biographies

Muspida, University of Pattimura image/svg+xml

Author Origin : Indonesia
Department of Development Economics and Lecture

Hermi Oppier, University of Pattimura image/svg+xml

Author Origin : Indonesia
Department of Development Economics and Lecture

Dientje Rumerung, University of Pattimura image/svg+xml

Author Origin : Indonesia
Department of Development Economics and Lecture

Hendri Dony Hahury, Universitas Pattimura

Author Origin : Indonesia

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How to Cite

Muspida, Oppier, H., Rumerung, D., & Hahury, H. D. (2026). THE IMPACT OF “TRUMP’S POLICIES” ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTHEAST ASIA: SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW APPROACH. Multidiciplinary Output Research For Actual and International Issue (MORFAI), 6(2), 2062–2070. https://doi.org/10.54443/morfai.v6i2.4933

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